Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.129858 2.426250 2.748443 3.124638 3.551811 4.021797 4.578152
2025-09-28 1.626453 2.020410 2.486100 3.077000 3.806829 4.678892 5.800581
2025-10-05 1.459941 1.924986 2.507323 3.289704 4.313429 5.607840 7.370186
2025-10-12 1.275098 1.765945 2.410463 3.318109 4.563439 6.212908 8.565991
2025-10-19 1.164641 1.683195 2.392680 3.433392 4.921146 6.972458 10.019304
2025-10-26 1.034456 1.553523 2.290481 3.411870 5.075217 7.452847 11.114662
2025-11-02 0.929462 1.445749 2.204000 3.397150 5.227651 7.931823 12.236623
2025-11-09 0.829167 1.332571 2.095531 3.334106 5.294746 8.281051 13.183129
2025-11-16 0.768262 1.272922 2.060573 3.376957 5.522507 8.884825 14.564177
2025-11-23 0.714639 1.218672 2.027451 3.416758 5.744384 9.491247 15.992954
2025-11-30 0.657467 1.152365 1.967718 3.405391 5.877992 9.961092 17.230058
2025-12-07 0.599065 1.077951 1.887102 3.349963 5.929720 10.294950 18.258738
2025-12-14 0.545819 1.011131 1.819630 3.322316 6.046768 10.782801 19.659972
2025-12-21 0.493735 0.941713 1.742200 3.271807 6.123092 11.215117 21.021361
2025-12-28 0.487342 0.955355 1.813940 3.497846 6.719592 12.620695 24.277275
2026-01-04 0.454823 0.915712 1.783145 3.528032 6.952047 13.379726 26.393402
2026-01-11 0.436956 0.902467 1.800291 3.650541 7.370163 14.518546 29.335963
2026-01-18 0.403862 0.855164 1.746623 3.627671 7.499487 15.112619 31.259687
2026-01-25 0.374861 0.813155 1.699181 3.612028 7.640247 15.738239 33.299158
2026-02-01 0.343566 0.763033 1.630346 3.545031 7.667861 16.136740 34.903269
2026-02-08 0.325776 0.740133 1.615697 3.590569 7.935073 17.046401 37.660798
2026-02-15 0.309111 0.717976 1.600414 3.632864 8.198239 17.968023 40.523867
2026-02-22 0.289287 0.686662 1.562276 3.620785 8.340114 18.640973 42.898628